HES 505 Fall 2024: Session 21
By the end of today you should be able to:
Describe and implement overlay analyses
Extend overlay analysis to statistical modeling
Generate spatial predictions from statistical models
Methods for identifying optimal site selection or suitability
Apply a common scale to diverse or dissimilar outputs
Define the problem.
Break the problem into submodels.
Determine significant layers.
Reclassify or transform the data within a layer.
Add or combine the layers.
Verify
Successive disqualification of areas
Series of “yes/no” questions
“Sieve” mapping
Reclassifying
Which types of land are appropriate
Assume relationships are really Boolean
No measurement error
Categorical measurements are known exactly
Boundaries are well-represented
\[ \begin{equation} F(\mathbf{s}) = \prod_{M=1}^{m}X_m(\mathbf{s}) \end{equation} \]
\[ \begin{equation} F(\mathbf{s}) = f(w_1X_1(\mathbf{s}), w_2X_2(\mathbf{s}), w_3X_3(\mathbf{s}), ..., w_mX_m(\mathbf{s})) \end{equation} \]
\(F(\mathbf{s})\) does not have to be binary (could be ordinal or continuous)
\(X_m(\mathbf{s})\) could also be extended beyond simply ‘suitable/not suitable’
Adding weights allows incorporation of relative importance
Other functions for combining inputs (\(X_m(\mathbf{s})\))
\[ \begin{equation} F(\mathbf{s}) = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{m}w_iX_i(\mathbf{s})}{\sum_{i=1}^{m}w_i} \end{equation} \]
\(F(s)\) is now an index based on the values of \(X_m(\mathbf{s})\)
\(w_i\) can incorporate weights of evidence, uncertainty, or different participant preferences
Dividing by \(\sum_{i=1}^{m}w_i\) normalizes by the sum of weights
\[ \begin{equation} F(\mathbf{s}) = w_0 + \sum_{i=1}^{m}w_iX_i(\mathbf{s}) + \epsilon \end{equation} \]
If we estimate \(w_i\) using data, we specify \(F(s)\) as the outcome of regression
When \(F(s)\) is binary → logistic regression
When \(F(s)\) is continuous → linear (gamma) regression
When \(F(s)\) is discrete → Poisson regression
Assumptions about \(\epsilon\) matter!!
To identify important correlations between predictors and the occurrence of an event
Generate maps of the ‘range’ or ‘niche’ of events
Understand spatial patterns of event co-occurrence
Forecast changes in event distributions